This
week the NSE-ASI breached 22,000 for the first time since January 14, 2010
(20 months ago). The next resistance point is 21,000 (which was last
breached on January 5, 2010). Both occurred within 9 days of each other
with the market scaling 25,000 3 months later.
It will be interesting if recent
history repeats itself. While we seek evidence of a stronger reversal it
is important to focus on the benefits of the markets move to lower lows.
The dividend yield as calculated by BSL has climbed above 8% and
appears to be heading towards the yield on the 10 year bond which is
making a reluctant drift downwards. The meeting point of these two indicators
may signal the fundamental "bottom" in this market rather than
the more psychological one.
The NSE-ASI closed at
21,976.87 -3.29% (-0.23% in the previous week). Volume for the
week was a cumulative 1.712 billion shares (1.76 billion
shares in the previous week).
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